Monday, May 18, 2009
Why Kris Allen Will Win American Idol
It seems like a safe bet that Adam Lambert will win American Idol tomorrow night. He is the Rachel Alexandra of the show, everyone has put their money on him (Including Katy Perry). However there is one thing to consider: Adam is very polarizing. I happen to think he is really, really good (although I like Kris a lot too) but you either agree or STRONGLY disagree with that statement it seems. The high-pitched voice and quasi-gothic look obviously turns some people off, while it turns other people on (Matt Sneed). To this point it has not turned enough people off, and he has coasted through the competition.
So, while many assume Adam is going to win, I wouldn't put it in the bag yet. Why? Well, I think the people who had voted for Danny would be more inclined to vote for Kris than for Adam. If Kris gains say 75% of the Danny vote he could win, since they said the last vote was so close among the three (Adam, Kris, Danny.) Danny had a huge chunk of the votes every week, and was at the top of DialIdol.com's predictions, along with Adam, every week. While, Danny's popularity waned over the last week or two, he no doubt still had a strong enough base to push him to third place. These lost, wandering Danny voters will, in my opinion, either vote for Kris or not vote at all. Some, will vote for Adam but I really don't think most will, and if they decide to vote they could push Kris to victory.
So, my pick: Kris Allen the suprise American Idol.
So, while many assume Adam is going to win, I wouldn't put it in the bag yet. Why? Well, I think the people who had voted for Danny would be more inclined to vote for Kris than for Adam. If Kris gains say 75% of the Danny vote he could win, since they said the last vote was so close among the three (Adam, Kris, Danny.) Danny had a huge chunk of the votes every week, and was at the top of DialIdol.com's predictions, along with Adam, every week. While, Danny's popularity waned over the last week or two, he no doubt still had a strong enough base to push him to third place. These lost, wandering Danny voters will, in my opinion, either vote for Kris or not vote at all. Some, will vote for Adam but I really don't think most will, and if they decide to vote they could push Kris to victory.
So, my pick: Kris Allen the suprise American Idol.
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4 comments:
Excellent point Newman..good job! Also, I watched the "Justin tvcam" this morning for the first time. Tell Chris for me..she looks GREAT and I luv her...but please stop biting her nails! :)
I thought the same thing, even before I read this! I also would like to see Kris win over Adam, so hopefully this prediction is correct and Danny's fans will vote for Kris. I think I would be more interested in Kris's future endeavors than Adam's. Adam sounds too broadway to be an "American Idol" (Kind of how they compared Clay Aiken to broadway stars... right before Rueben beat him to everyone's surprise).
I thought the same thing, even before I read this! I also would like to see Kris win over Adam, so hopefully this prediction is correct and Danny's fans will vote for Kris. I think I would be more interested in Kris's future endeavors than Adam's. Adam sounds too broadway to be an "American Idol" (Kind of how they compared Clay Aiken to broadway stars... right before Rueben beat him to everyone's surprise).
Guess you were right...but I must say Kris looked prettyyy surprised with the result.
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